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Hatch Smith Enters Race for District 53

State Rep. Andrew Murr (R–Junction) finds himself under the weight of a third censure by the Republican Party of Texas, leading to the decision not to seek re-election in Texas House District 53. Murr, who first assumed office in 2014, recently chaired the House General Investigating Committee, the body that spearheaded the failed impeachment proceedings against Attorney General Ken Paxton.

The latest censure comes on the heels of Murr’s announcement that he would not be seeking re-election, a decision that has left many questioning the state of conservative representation in House District 53.

Murr faced criticism from multiple county parties within his district, with censures from Medina, Bandera, and admonishment from Real County GOP. The grievances cited include his rushed involvement in the Paxton impeachment process, his support for House Speaker Dade Phelan, and votes against school choice and measures to secure elections.

The censure resolution, approved by a resounding 61-0 vote with two abstentions at the State Republican Executive Committee, not only adds another stain to Murr’s political record but also prohibits the party from financing his re-election campaign. It also opens the door for educating voters about the censure.

Despite the mounting challenges, Murr stood firm, maintaining that his actions were in line with the principles of the party. However, this conviction failed to sway the party leadership, and with a heavy heart, Murr decided to forgo seeking re-election.

In the aftermath of Murr’s decision, Hatch Smith, a rancher and conservative businessman, has stepped into the political arena, announcing his candidacy for the Texas House District 53 seat. Smith, a multi-generational rancher in Llano County, brings a wealth of experience in agriculture, business, finance, and management.

Smith, who successfully orchestrated the salvation of a local hospital in Llano, expressed his commitment to problem-solving, a quality he believes will serve the district well. He particularly emphasized his dedication to addressing the challenges posed by the Biden Administration’s border policies and his determination to find Texas-based solutions.

With the Republican Primary election scheduled for March 5 and the general election set for November 5, Hatch Smith’s entry into the race has injected a new dynamic into the political landscape of House District 53. As the countdown to the elections begins, the district anticipates a fresh start under the leadership of a candidate who aligns with conservative values and vows to champion the interests of the constituents.

Michael Pipkins focuses on public integrity, governance, constitutional issues, and political developments affecting Texans. His investigative reporting covers public-record disputes, city-government controversies, campaign finance matters, and the use of public authority. Pipkins is a member of the Society of Professional Journalists (SPJ). As an SPJ member, Pipkins adheres to established principles of ethical reporting, including accuracy, fairness, source protection, and independent journalism.

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Election

Recall Moves Closer: Signatures Verified. Recall Election of Codi Chinn Moves Forward

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Codi Chinn Recall

Fate, Texas — The City of Fate has completed its review of the recall petition targeting City Councilwoman Codi Chinn, formally verifying the petition as valid and clearing the way for a recall election to be ordered by the City Council.

City officials confirmed that 396 signatures from registered Fate voters were verified and accepted, exceeding the 351 signatures required under the city’s home rule charter. With the verification process complete, the matter now advances to the City Council on Monday, January 26th, which is legally required to call a recall election in accordance with Texas election law.

Under the charter, the action is administerial and the council has no discretion to reject or delay a properly presented petition. Chinn will be given an opportunity for a hearing to address the council, if she chooses, but it will not change the fact that a recall election must be held.

A Stark Electoral Comparison

The verified signature count carries added political significance when viewed against the backdrop of Chinn’s original election.

In June 2024, Chinn prevailed in a runoff election against challenger Cinnamon Krause, winning by a margin of 835 votes (56.92%) to 632 votes (43.08%). The recall petition, which gathered over 400 signatures in approximately one week, represents almost half the total number of votes Chinn received citywide in her election.

While a recall petition is not a direct proxy for voter intent, the comparison underscores the speed and scale of the opposition effort, as well as citizen dissatisfaction with Chinn, particularly in a city where municipal turnout is typically modest and electoral margins are measured in the hundreds, rather than the thousands.

From Certification to the Ballot

With the petition signatures verified and considered “Sufficient”, the recall effort now enters its next—and most consequential—phase. If the council follows the standard timeline, the recall election is expected to be placed on the May ballot, coinciding with regularly scheduled municipal elections for City Council Place 2 (Mark Harper) and Place 3 (Scott Kelley).

Harper and Kelley have not yet announced if they intend to run for reelection.

The recall ballot will present voters with a single question: whether Codi Chinn should be removed from office before the expiration of her term in May 2027. A simple majority is required for removal. If the recall succeeds, the resulting vacancy would be filled by appointment of the council. If it fails, Chinn would retain her seat for the remainder of her term.

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Election

Texas AI Attack Ad Sparks Outrage After Showing Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn Dancing “Washington Waltz” in Heated Senate Race

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Crockett & Cornyn Dance

AUSTIN, Texas — A controversy over the use of artificial intelligence in political advertising has erupted in the Texas U.S. Senate race, after a newly released AI-generated video depicts Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett and Senator John Cornyn dancing together in stylized scenes meant to satirize their relationship in Washington, D.C. The ad, issued by Texas Attorney General and GOP Senate contender Ken Paxton’s campaign, has drawn criticism from across the political spectrum and underscored growing concerns about the use of synthetic media in elections.

The ad, which circulated online beginning around January 16, 2026, shows AI-rendered versions of Crockett and Cornyn engaged in choreographed dancing inside what appears to be a dance hall and in front of the U.S. Capitol. According to reporting, the visuals are meant to reference past remarks in which Cornyn described Crockett as his “dance partner” in the Senate in a metaphorical sense, highlighting their occasional bipartisan cooperation.

What Happened

Ken Paxton’s campaign released the ad titled “Partner” as part of his broader effort to define Cornyn as a weak Republican and to draw contrasts with other candidates in the GOP Senate primary. The video pairs the AI imagery with music and imagery that suggests a partnership out of step with conservative values, implying that Cornyn’s willingness to work across the aisle weakens his Republican bona fides.

The ad appears on social media platforms rather than traditional television and it includes a small disclaimer noting that parts of the video were generated using artificial intelligence. A move supporters say aims to satisfy transparency concerns even though Texas law does not require such disclosure outside of defined electioneering periods.

The Candidates Involved

  • Jasmine Crockett, a Democratic congresswoman from Texas’ 30th District, which has been redefined by the Texas Legislature, is running in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Cornyn. She has toured parts of the state campaigning on issues such as opioid crisis intervention, hunger, and broader economic concerns. She is currently running behind her Democratic challenger, James Talarico.
  • John Cornyn is the incumbent Republican U.S. Senator seeking re-election in 2026. Polling shows him falling behind his rival, Ken Paxton, and may even come in third, behind Wesley Hunt.

Reactions From Campaigns

Crockett’s campaign has pushed back against Paxton’s framing, with spokespeople noting that the focus on bipartisanship is not a substantive attack on her record but an attempt to weaponize generative media against her. Supporters say Crockett’s actual work on issues like the opioid crisis and food insecurity demonstrates cross-party cooperation in service of Texans, not political theater.

Cornyn’s team has so far declined to directly comment on the ad, according to reporting, leaving a vacuum that has allowed digital discourse to flourish largely unchecked on social platforms.

Legal and Ethical Implications

The use of AI to depict real political figures doing things they never actually did raises significant legal and ethical questions. Texas law includes provisions that make it a misdemeanor to distribute a “deep fake” video within 30 days of an election with intent to influence the outcome, although enforcement of such statutes is untested and subject to interpretation.

Experts and advocates warn that generative content in political advertising could mislead voters, erode trust in legitimate campaigning, and outpace current regulatory frameworks. There is no federal requirement that ads containing AI-generated content carry clear labels, and states vary widely in how — or whether — they regulate synthetic media in political contexts.

Public and Political Response

The ad has quickly become a topic of discussion on digital forums and social media. Commenters have described it variously as humorous, cringe-inducing, or disturbing, with discussions often centering on broader fears that AI will drown political discourse in manipulated content. Some observers on platforms like Reddit note that the synthetic depictions could backfire on Paxton, especially among voters who see bipartisanship as a virtue.

Republican and Democratic voters alike have expressed frustration online that artificial intelligence is being used to blur the line between satire and misinformation in an already polarized political environment.

Context Within the 2026 Senate Race

The Texas Senate contest in 2026 remains highly competitive. Polls show Cornyn’s support varying across matchups against Democratic contenders, including Crockett and others, with some surveys indicating narrow leads or possible runoff scenarios in the Republican primary.

This ad is one of the earliest signals that the 2026 cycle will ably test the boundaries of campaign messaging technology, and it arrives amidst broader debates about whether legislative or judicial action is needed to govern the use of AI in political communications.

Why This Matters

The “Washington Waltz” style ad exemplifies how rapidly advancing technology is reshaping political campaigns — for better or worse. It forces voters and lawmakers to ask whether current laws are equipped to preserve truthful discourse, or whether new guardrails are required to prevent deceptive content from influencing elections.

For constitutional conservatives and civic activists alike, this incident highlights a deeper tension between free speech protections and the need for electoral integrity. The stakes extend beyond the characters in this particular Senate race; they speak to a future in which digital manipulation can construct realities that never occurred.

As the 2026 primaries approach, voters in Texas — and observers nationwide — will be watching not just who wins or loses, but how campaigns wield revolutionary tools of persuasion in a hypercharged political era.

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Dallas

Talarico’s Texas Takeover? New Poll Shows Democratic Senate Race Tilting Against Crockett

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Jazzy behind Talarico

Dallas, TX — A seismic shift in the 2026 Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary has unsettled party operatives and raised questions about the viability of one of the party’s most visible progressive figures. According to a new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey released January 15, 2026, State Rep. James Talarico holds a nine-point lead over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett among likely Democratic primary voters. Talarico’s 47 percent support to Crockett’s 38 percent, with 15 percent undecided, signals a remarkable reversal from a December survey in which Crockett held a clear lead.

The poll results make the March 3 primary a focal point of Texas politics, with implications that stretch from the Democratic Party’s ideological battles to the broader contest for control of the U.S. Senate. At a time when Democrats hoped to topple the Republican stranglehold on statewide offices in Texas, internal party dynamics — and voter preferences — are now in sharper focus.

Shift in Voter Preferences
The Emerson poll, conducted January 10–12 with a sample of 413 likely Democratic primary voters, shows Talarico with broad support across key demographic groups. He leads among Hispanic voters at approximately 59 percent and among white voters at roughly 57 percent. Crockett, while commanding strong loyalty among Black Democratic voters — roughly 80 percent back her — struggles to match Talarico’s cross-sectional appeal.

In the same survey, gender splits emerged: men favored Talarico by a wide margin, while women’s support was nearly evenly divided between the two candidates. With a sizable share of Democratic voters still undecided, the primary remains fluid — but Talarico’s edge appears solid at the moment.

Who Are the Candidates?
Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Dallas) has been a dynamic presence within Texas Democratic politics since her election to Congress in 2022. Known for her unapologetic progressive rhetoric and criticism of Republican leadership, Crockett quickly became a national figure among the party’s left wing. Early polling suggested she was the Democratic favorite to win the Senate nomination, tapping into energy among urban progressives.

State Rep. James Talarico (D-Austin) has taken a different approach. A former educator with a reputation for grassroots organizing and a comparatively moderate tone on certain issues, Talarico has worked to broaden his appeal beyond traditional Democratic strongholds. His Senate campaign, which has reportedly raised more than $13 million since its launch, emphasizes his capacity to unite diverse factions of the Democratic electorate.

Their differing campaign strategies are reflected in the latest figures: Crockett’s base remains deeply loyal, particularly among Black voters, while Talarico’s performance with Hispanic and white voters has propelled him ahead in the overall count.

Republican Landscape and Broader Stakes
While Democratic eyes are fixed on their own intraparty struggle, the Republican side of the Texas Senate race also reflects volatility. The Emerson poll indicates that Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton are locked in a tight GOP primary contest that could head to a runoff if neither candidate reaches a majority. Both Republicans remain below 30 percent support among likely GOP voters, underscoring ongoing divisions within the party.

Looking ahead to the general election, early hypothetical matchups show Republicans maintaining an advantage in this deeply red state, with Cornyn and Paxton both holding leads in polls against the Democratic contenders. Yet with the Democrats’ primary unsettled and a significant share of voters undecided, the path to victory for either party remains complex and contingent on turnout patterns in November.

Historical Context and Trends
Texas has not elected a Democratic U.S. Senator since 1988, a generational drought that has shaped the party’s approach to statewide races. In recent cycles, Democratic candidates have occasionally narrowed margins but fallen short of victory. Crockett’s initial strong polling reflected belief among some observers that her charisma and progressive credentials might overcome historical headwinds. However, the rapid swing in favor of Talarico suggests voters may prioritize electability in a conservative state.

The shifting polls also highlight internal debates within the Texas Democratic coalition over identity, strategy, and how to appeal to a statewide electorate that still tilts Republican. How the candidates navigate these conversations — and how they position themselves against Republican opponents — will likely shape the party’s fortunes in 2026 and beyond.

Conclusion: A Party at a Crossroads
From my vantage point, as someone who approaches politics through a constitutional conservative lens, the Democratic primary in Texas illustrates deeper tensions within that party: a clash between ideological purity and pragmatic calculation. Crockett’s progressive firebrand brand once made her the favorite among activists, but her apparent inability to expand beyond her base underscores the challenges of winning statewide in a state where conservative voters still outnumber Democrats. Talarico’s rise suggests that Democratic voters themselves may be responding to the cold arithmetic of electability rather than purely ideological factors.

Regardless of who wins the Democratic nomination, the general election will be an uphill battle for the party in Texas. Republicans remain firmly positioned, and the competitive primary may deplete resources that could have been directed toward a unified campaign against GOP nominees. If Democrats hope to flip a Senate seat for the first time in nearly four decades, they will need cohesion, strong turnout, and a candidate capable of bridging ideological divides.

For now, the story is not just Crockett versus Talarico — it is a reflection of Texas’s evolving political identity, where margins are tight, and electoral fortunes can turn on a single poll. Only voters themselves, and the campaigns that engage them between now and March, will determine which narrative prevails.

Sources:
Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey, January 15, 2026.
Texas Tribune reporting on Emerson poll results.
Newsmax analysis of Texas primary polling trends.
Black Enterprise – Crockett is behind in polls.

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